Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-18 271.630793 306.888033 346.083757 393.086438 448.178081 511.017388 588.563968
2025-05-25 224.093100 271.616720 329.286621 405.248385 503.909326 629.452277 804.126189
2025-06-01 192.851272 244.487268 310.808875 403.813365 533.450502 711.753249 982.837098
2025-06-08 168.693011 221.290459 291.859364 395.802422 549.128672 773.937042 1142.381852
2025-06-15 152.918418 206.561680 281.302201 396.252745 574.647516 851.984840 1339.778616
2025-06-22 137.654388 190.438093 266.296258 387.244174 583.192230 903.606431 1503.460611
2025-06-29 127.036455 179.677730 257.547542 385.994132 602.833726 975.294632 1717.302106
2025-07-06 114.528037 164.801684 240.871390 369.773475 594.690147 996.835064 1840.486956
2025-07-13 110.599327 162.516825 243.276895 384.756382 642.036438 1126.104647 2212.116416
2025-07-20 107.394283 160.973751 246.548019 401.355105 694.498553 1274.780962 2668.948125
2025-07-27 101.847313 155.143093 242.118909 403.688880 720.166018 1374.257695 3042.120279
2025-08-03 94.794886 146.263568 231.714761 393.876108 720.372242 1419.600002 3293.989515
2025-08-10 88.494907 138.323123 222.506381 385.783900 723.993878 1475.723007 3600.963561
2025-08-17 85.848484 136.383828 223.658329 397.688396 771.563156 1643.802482 4290.889937
2025-08-24 81.506193 131.155309 218.405360 396.285285 789.870689 1745.334680 4822.856175
2025-08-31 76.691992 124.743828 210.435512 388.457005 792.440795 1807.579040 5254.226107
2025-09-07 73.384617 120.781352 206.681364 388.897083 814.259066 1925.717128 5936.258321
2025-09-14 69.211863 114.971069 198.962496 380.092940 812.567593 1978.831594 6403.352557
2025-09-21 66.273335 111.234692 194.946485 378.871180 829.451756 2089.544976 7159.848139
2025-09-28 61.904462 104.581342 184.758510 363.015634 806.951759 2077.985463 7394.038585
2025-10-05 61.171412 104.705387 187.991018 377.661414 866.183267 2334.632602 8999.960785
2025-10-12 60.591076 105.070631 191.720846 393.883191 932.724130 2636.139506 11072.598738
2025-10-19 58.663872 102.703553 189.647752 396.163682 960.906359 2815.897837 12650.315459